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Old Sep 3, 2008, 5:01 pm
  #1  
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Hurricane Ike

Latest on Hurricane Ike from Hamweather. Currently he's projected moving toward the Straits of Florida, passing near Miami as a Cat 3. Keep an eye on this guy, September is forcast as an active hurricane month with two intense hurricanes.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 5:40 pm
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A-ha! Further validation of my thesis that God hates FL.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 5:59 pm
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Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
Latest on Hurricane Ike from Hamweather. Currently he's projected moving toward the Straits of Florida, passing near Miami as a Cat 3. Keep an eye on this guy, September is forcast as an active hurricane month with two intense hurricanes.
It bears watching for sure. (Un)Forturnatly, there is plenty of open water between there and Florida, so anything can happen.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 6:00 pm
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Originally Posted by LeSabre74
A-ha! Further validation of my thesis that God hates FL.
true but goalie-parents have a place in pbi and i have a very dear friend who lives in fll so here's to ike dropping down just a little bit to the south
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 6:13 pm
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Already up to a cat 3. But far enough away, no one seems to know if it will hit Florida, turn north following Hanna, or go straight into the Gulf.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 6:40 pm
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Check the paths of the models on the page posted by the OP - they show how much of a guessing game these predictions are at this stage of the storrm system's life (either way, thanks to the OP for the early heads-up).
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:09 pm
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To be fair, no storm has ever come from where Ike is and come anywhere near Florida. Andrew is the closest analog, but it was hundreds of miles south of where Ike is when it was at the same longitude.

Personally I think the NHC has overestimated the Bermuda high, but only time will tell.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:15 pm
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
Personally I think the NHC has overestimated the Bermuda high, but only time will tell.
Agreed. I hope they are.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:19 pm
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Forcasts indicate the potential of Hanna and Ike landfalls within four days. <<of each other>>

Last edited by pierre mclopez; Sep 3, 2008 at 7:26 pm Reason: clarity
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:20 pm
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Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
Forcasts indicate the potential of Hanna and Ike landfalls within four days.
It's too early for any serious talk of landfall forecasts for Ike.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:21 pm
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
To be fair, no storm has ever come from where Ike is and come anywhere near Florida....
What did Johnny Unitas say?
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:31 pm
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The models are really starting to trend north and east. Look for the NHC to adjust its track accordingly at 11.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:46 pm
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Originally Posted by SRQ Guy
The models are really starting to trend north and east. Look for the NHC to adjust its track accordingly at 11.
Are you in the "business"?
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 7:48 pm
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Originally Posted by pierre mclopez
Are you in the "business"?
No, but I do follow these things obsessively and have learned a lot doing so.

I read the forums at Storm2K where a lot of professional meteorologists do a lot of teaching of the business to us interested laypeople.
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Old Sep 3, 2008, 8:29 pm
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Florida, Louisiana, and Tina are on alert.
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